All Episodes
Displaying episodes 61 - 90 of 110 in total
Monday, May 8th. 50th Episode Special w/guest Gibson Smith of Smith Capital Investors
Blaine Disrud and Trevor Nargis welcome guest Gibson Smith of Smith Capital Investors for a 50th Episode special. Strengths include interest rates and returns availabl...
Monday, May 1st. It's almost like we have two economies...
Big tech earnings propel strength this week while market breadth leads the weakness. Yields and quality are an opportunity while the debt ceiling continues to be a thr...
Monday, April 24th. Is the US Dollar losing its dominance?
China's recovery leads strengths while economic indicators are deteriorating. There are opportunities both overseas and in certain sectors while continued tightening r...
Monday, April 17th. Bank concern creates market fear and angst.
Long duration asset strength and consumption weakness. Volatility presents an opportunity while threats emerge in the job market.
Monday, April 10th. Cash on the sidelines presents an opportunity.
Does the market see sunnier days ahead? Watch for weakness with equity valuations as we head into weaker-than-expected earnings. Are we seeing the next market bottom? ...
Monday, April 3rd. The pause and the pivot.
Strengths include the outperformance of the Nasdaq--and stocks in general. Weakness is the potential for falling market breadth along with stocks falling below the 200...
Monday, March 27. Markets and Fed playing chicken. Again.
Long duration assets have done well but financial conditions are a weakness. An opportunity exists with the rally on the Fed pause but the impact of the bank crisis re...
Monday, March 20th. 'A weeding out of the weak'.
Resilience in equity markets meets weakness in credit and commodities. There are opportunities in large banks while potential exists for contagion and stagflation.
Monday, March 13th. A BIG week meets the SVB factor
The continued strength of inflation, valuations continue to be high while the equity risk premium stays low. The decline in interest rates meets continued Central Bank...
Monday, March 6th. Margin pressure--both a weakness and an opportunity.
Business and consumers locked in low rates on their debt. The mortgage market remains tough. AI and its potential aid to productivity. And the Fed's guidance might not...
Monday, February 27th. A signal at the wrong time.
Consumer strength continues to be a strength--but not what the Fed wants to see. Further rate hikes are a certainty and the market is pricing them in. What is AI's imp...
Monday, February 20th. It still pays to be defensive
US markets closed for President's Day--but we're still here talking about the economy and inflation. Might the market misplace inflation coming down? Does it make sens...
Monday, February 13th. Financial conditions have eased...for now.
Financial conditions have changed for now, but the inverted yield curve shows up twice: as a weakness and a threat. Fixed icome continues to be very attractive.
Monday, February 6. Labor numbers and January markets.
Labor continues to be strong while the dollar rallies. Options create opportunities and the debt ceiling issue isn't going away.
Monday, January 30th. 2022's losers are the winners so far this year
2022's losers are the winners so far this year. Many areas are looking strong all at once.
Monday, January 23rd. "Congress Fiddling With The Debt Ceiling While Our Deficit Burns"
More liquidity added to the system than you might have realized. The inverted yield curve continues to indicate a recession, but the markets may have already "baked it...
Monday, January 16th. "They're playing chicken with the Fed."
Strength: the breadth of the market has been outperforming. Weakness: the consumer going forward and sales volume coming down. Opportunity: international and emerging ...
Monday, January 9th. Finding the floor.
Strength: market recovery vs. economic situation. Weakness: leading economic indicators showing signs of contraction. Opportunity: a gradual increase towards equities ...
Tuesday, January 3rd. 2022 review with a look ahead at '23.
Strengths include the Fed's resolve to tame inflation. One weakness is diversification; it was a bad year for balanced investors. 2023 will bring opportunity in small ...
Tuesday, December 27th. Focus on the labor market.
Anyone who wants a job can get one while economic growth is constrained by the labor market situation. Opportunities exist for companies that benefit from labor produc...
Monday, December 19th. Is the Fed winning the fight against inflation?
Is the Fed winning the fight against inflation? The all-important consumer's resolve might be dwindling. Diversification opportunities might exist outside the US. Is t...
Monday, December 12th. The difference between a 'correction' and a change in 'trend'.
Accelerated GDP growth...for now. A crisis of sentiment. Future returns of fixed income. The economy deteriorating in a recession.
Monday, December 5th. What are inverted yield curves telling us?
Emerging markets, the historically deep inversion in the yield curve--and is everyone copying each other's investment homework?
Monday, November 28th. The pause vs the pivot
This week: Strength in short duration and cash generating securities. Weakness in valuation and earning conditions for the S&P 500. Small cap opportunities and a threa...
Monday, November 21st. Spending: good for now.....
This week: Market resilience, consumer spending, financial planning, and a still-hawkish Fed.
Monday, November 14th. Too early for market pricing assuming the end of a tightening cycle?
We're seeing a broad based rally tied to inflation that is declining faster than expected. The threat associated with the dollar's decline. Opportunities in internatio...
Monday, November 7th. China as a strength AND a threat?
This week's episode tackles how can China appears as both a strength and a weakness. Blaine Disrud and Jason Cooper discuss. Plus, the default risk of floating rate ...
Monday, October 31st. Winter is coming.
Active management flexes, continued year-long weakness, potential for additional cash, and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at a 40 year low.
Monday, October 24th. Time for patience?
Closer to the END of Fed tightening than the beginning, weakness in the economy on the way to '23, opportunities with attractive valuations emerging, and the the threa...
Monday, October 17th. Last week: Hot CPI. This week, key earnings.
The peak inflation narrative, economic data likely getting worse, working around a bottom, and the potential for a leg lower in the markets. Blaine Disrud and Trevor N...