All Episodes
The Christmas Episode
Santa Claus came for small caps but the dollar has been dashing downward. Stock pickers need to do some homework but will it be a blue Christmas for bonds?
The transition from pause to cut can be bumpy
Interest rate sensitive assets are a strength while the Magnificent 7 might be going from magnificent to middling. There is opportunity in the catch-up trade but trans...
Early resolution for 2024? Balance.
The buy-the-dip-reflex seems to be strong while the slow slide into stagnation is a weakness. There's an opportunity to get back into balance but data dependence equal...
Chipotle buy-now-pay-later?
Besides learning why one of the members of the Investment Team uses buy-now-pay-later for Chipotle, there are plenty of other things to talk about. Yields are down bu...
Two PHDs walk into a podcast....
Double PHD's on this episode. Good news IS good news but weak holiday guidance is an issue. Genuine growth is scarce, demands a premium, and is an opportunity while a ...
Are we seeing end of the year FOMO?
Santa's sleigh is being pulled by some Bulls --but risk reward is looking risky. Dumpster diving is back on the menu but the Fed is hurting the government more than Wa...
It's a cliche, but when do we NOT have volatility?
Potential earnings improvement is a strength while mid and small cap stocks underperform. For opportunities; the '40' part of a 60/40 portfolio could have good risk-ad...
The Powell Pause and the power of lower expectations.
What the pause means for fixed income and equity markets is a strength while equity valuations remain a weakness. Expectations are low, that's an opportunity. That alo...
Who's got bad breadth?
Artificial intelligence is here and a definite strength Meanwhile, bad breadth pulls equity returns lower and is a weakness. Look to risk/reward for stock and bonds f...
Time for a Powell pause?
The consumer is like the Energizer Bunny...but bonds shouldn't be this nerve wracking. On the other side, if you can hold them, bonds might be an opportunity. Watch fo...
A busy week for economic data. Plus, a threat to the munchies.
Classic defensives did their work while the consumer might be starting to crack. Opportunity might exist by looking at what hasn't worked while the Fed could be late t...
Does Jawboning Still Work?
This week will yield plenty of data for experts to inspect. As inflation starts to diminish, Powell may have painted himself into a corner given some of his statements...
A bit of a lost year for bonds
Energy and employment are strengths while yield sensitive assets remain weak. There are opportunities via reasonable valuations and increased bond yields but risk prem...
Quality. An often-used term, but what does it mean?
This quarter, defense has been the best defense. Weakness exists with yields up but everything else down. Opportunities exist to lock in rates and hedge against inflat...
Too much worry over this week's Fed meeting?
Defensive rotation is a strength while elevated mortgage rates pose a threat. There are opportunities in China and emerging markets but a floor under inflation remains...
China shows up twice
Strength in high yield while Chinese governance is a weakness. Opportunities exist when real dates go down but fiscal policy and Chinese bans post threats.
Potential pain for consumers?
Government spending on infrastructure set to ramp up but potential pain ahead for consumers. While markets look to be turning up and it's time to get selective, rising...
The fear factor
New home sales and consumer confidence are strong, but the cost of funding is a weakness. Look for opportunity at the intersection of value and quality but be mindful ...
The China contagion?
Solid portfolio construction manages volatility while the problems with China's economy have the potential to spread wider. Opportunities exist via active management w...
Consumer Sentiment Up, But Volatility Looms
Both consumer and small business sentiment are up, but earnings volatility may contribute to an overall volatile future. Opportunities may lie in value and energy, but...
Deficits consistent with a recession, not an expansion
Economic growth still supportive but concern over big debts and deficits. Short bonds and multinationals vs unanchoring of inflation expectations.
Parts of the consumer base are starting to suffer
The economy continues to power ahead while the bond market is dealing with returns vs. expectations. Are there opportunities to add duration and within commodities? Cr...
Special Episode: Focus on agriculture and commodities.
Jason Moss, Senior Marketing Consultant at Brock Associates, joins Todd Voit and Jason Cooper to discuss agriculture and commodities.
Where consumers are cutting back. What might that tell us?
Better than expected inflation numbers meet a dollar in a downtrend. There might be opportunities to lock in longer term yields but poor regulations might introduced f...
Choose your own fiscal policy adventure.
The economy is accelerating but monetary policy is tightening. There are opportunities in niche asset classes, but fiscal policy is setting up a choose-your-own-advent...
Portfolio positioning in divergent markets
Equities are strong, especially large cap growth. Watch for weakness in small to midsize banks with the potential of further rate hikes. There is an opportunity for yi...
How does the 3-day Russian 'mutiny' present opportunity?
Global unemployment is the lowest in decades while US productivity plunges amidst rising wage rates. Options are cheap for those worried about current conditions while...
Is divergence about to snap shut like alligator jaws?
AI is leading to a broadening of the market while lending conditions have gotten tighter. Is there an opportunity in down capitalization names and what is the threat t...